{"id":4108,"date":"2021-02-23T12:52:32","date_gmt":"2021-02-23T07:22:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/?p=4108"},"modified":"2021-03-01T15:01:04","modified_gmt":"2021-03-01T09:31:04","slug":"after-filling-up-in-2020-us-investors-remain-hungry-for-gold-bars-and-coins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/after-filling-up-in-2020-us-investors-remain-hungry-for-gold-bars-and-coins\/","title":{"rendered":"After filling up in 2020, US investors remain hungry for gold bars and coins"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Demand for gold bars and coins in the US jumped in 2020, mirroring the rush for gold ETFs that took holdings in those&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/data\/global-gold-backed-etf-holdings-and-flows\/2020\/december\" target=\"_blank\">products to record highs<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having languished at a relatively weak 20t in 2019, retail investment more than trebled to&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/gold-demand-trends\/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2020\/investment\" target=\"_blank\">66t in 2020<\/a>.<sup>1<\/sup>&nbsp;And while that remains some way below the levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis, bar and coin demand measured in value terms rocketed to almost US$3.8bn \u2013 the highest since 2011.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US retail investment hit the gas in 2020<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Annual US demand for gold bars and coins, volume and value<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to recent data from the&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.usmint.gov\/about\/production-sales-figures\/bullion-sales?program=American+Eagle&amp;+AmericatheBeautifulSilverBullion5ozCointype=&amp;+AmericanBuffalotype=&amp;+AmericanEagletype=Sales+totals+by+Month&amp;AmericatheBeautifulSilverBullion5ozCoinSalestotalsbyMonthyear=&amp;AmericatheBeautifulSilverBullion5ozCoinYear-datedcoinssoldyear=&amp;AmericanBuffaloSalestotalsbyMonthyear=&amp;AmericanBuffaloYear-datedcoinssoldyear=&amp;AmericanEagleSalestotalsbyMonthyear=1140&amp;AmericanEagleYear-datedcoinssoldyear=\" target=\"_blank\">US Mint<\/a>, this trend shows no sign of stopping so far in 2021. Sales of gold Eagle bullion coins topped 220,000 ounces in January (~6t). That\u2019s the highest monthly total since December 2009 and the strongest January sales so far this century.<sup>2<\/sup>&nbsp;And the momentum has continued into February, with sales having reached 118,500 ounces just after halfway through the month, also a 22-year high for February sales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what drove this interest in 2020? Broadly speaking, we can point to four key elements:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>The COVID-19 fear-facto<\/strong>r<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The global coronavirus pandemic was an obvious influence throughout last year. The sharp rise in gold bullion coin sales by the US Mint in March and April are clear evidence of the strong response by US investors to the rapid global spread of the virus at that time. A well-established online infrastructure allowed gold bar and coin to thrive, in contrast to markets such as India, where market lockdowns stifled investment. Nevertheless, a supply chain squeeze restricted the availability of some products (due to the closure of some mints and refineries, and a skeleton international flight schedule) and likely prevented demand in Q2 reaching its true potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Gold bullion coin sales have kept up the pace so far this year<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>US Mint monthly gold bullion coins sales, Total ounces<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01.png\" rel=\"mfp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"375\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-1024x375.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4111 lazyload\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-1024x375.png 1024w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-300x110.png 300w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-768x281.png 768w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-450x165.png 450w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-225x82.png 225w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-900x329.png 900w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-20x8.png 20w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01-262x96.png 262w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/01.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Note: Latest available data at 20 Feb<br>Source: US Mint<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Pent-up savings<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the economic impact of the coronavirus is unquestionable \u2013 GDT growth contracted by a staggering 31% in Q2, while unemployment spiked to 15% \u2013 the impact on aggregate income has been somewhat counter-intuitive.<sup>3<\/sup>&nbsp;Not only were lower paid jobs the worst hit, but stimulus checks and unemployment insurance injected vast sums into US pockets.<sup>4<\/sup>&nbsp;Meanwhile, spending has slumped. Unable to splurge on restaurant meals or holidays, many of these extra dollars have been directed towards a range of financial assets\u2026with gold being a likely beneficiary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Interest rate cuts and fear of inflation<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding to safe-haven flows, investment demand in 2020 was fuelled by rate cuts as the Federal Reserve slashed rates to zero in Q1.<sup>5<\/sup>&nbsp;Faced with the reality of not being compensated for saving cash, gold gained greater appeal, particularly with inflation fears stoked by huge fiscal stimulus, which inflated the US budget deficit to record levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>A rising gold price<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>And adding further momentum to the upsurge in investment was the movement of the gold price during the year. US dollar gold rose by nearly 25% over the course of 2020, reaching record highs in August in the process. This strong performance in and of itself attracted some investors into the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This picture for US investment demand in 2020 neatly illustrates the four key drivers of gold demand \u2013 risk and uncertainty, opportunity cost, economic expansion (specifically in this case, growth in savings and earnings) and momentum \u2013 which form the basis of our&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/portfolio-tools\/gold-valuation-framework?utm_source=google&amp;utm_medium=cpc&amp;utm_campaign=rwm-goldhub&amp;utm_content=466092663749&amp;utm_term=%2Bgold%20%2Bvaluation&amp;gclid=EAIaIQobChMIpOvMyMbd7gIVQp7tCh3Q3guMEAAYASAAEgI5d_D_BwE\" target=\"_blank\">Gold Valuation Framework<\/a>; a model that explains the performance of gold through the fundamental intersection of gold demand supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The analysis above shows all four drivers were in evidence in the US market in 2020. And while the price momentum driver may have been less of an influence in recent months, the remaining drivers are clearly playing a lead role: interest rates persist at near-zero for savers while expectations are widespread for continued government spending to expand the budget deficit still further, opportunities for discretionary spending remain limited, with widespread lockdowns still in place to ease the significant burden on healthcare systems; and uncertainty remains rife as to the nature of life under the continued shadow of COVID-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Consumer research also substantiates the trend we are seeing in US investment growth. Our&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/retailinsights.gold\/\" target=\"_blank\">large-scale 2019 survey<\/a>&nbsp;showed that US retail investors see gold as fulfilling two main roles in a portfolio: between one quarter and one third of investors view it as being for wealth protection, while around two thirds see its role as delivering returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">US investors see gold performing a dual role: protecting wealth and delivering returns<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Individual investors\u2019 views of the role that gold plays in portfolios*<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"375\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-1024x375.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4112 lazyload\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-1024x375.png 1024w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-300x110.png 300w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-768x281.png 768w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-450x165.png 450w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-225x82.png 225w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-900x329.png 900w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-20x8.png 20w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02-262x96.png 262w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/02.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>*As of August 2019. Results from a quantitative survey carried out by Hall &amp; Partners of 2,000 men and women in the US. The online survey captured the responses of active retail investors \u2013 classified as people who had made at least one investment in the past 12 months, excluding those who had only added money to a savings account and had only ever invested in a defined list of non-core investment products. Fieldwork took place in Q2 and Q3 2019. Results are responses to the question \u2018How would you describe the main role of this investment?\u2019. The options were: To make a positive impact on society\/the environment; Speculative\/high risk with the potential for very high returns; To make good returns (in excess of inflation) in the short term; To protect my wealth; To make good returns (in excess of inflation) in the long term. Options also included \u2018Don\u2019t know\u2019 and \u2018Other\u2019, but percentages are not significant enough to show in the chart. Respondents answered for each investment product that they owned at the time. Base: Currently own gold (in any of the four forms specified) (631). For more info see: Retail gold market analysis and insights.<br><br>Source: Hall &amp;Partners, World Gold Council<br><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>And investors also told us that the trigger for an investment in gold is more likely \u2013 compared with other assets \u2013 to be triggered by the need to spread\/reduce risk or by the price being on an upward trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Risk considerations and a rising price are relatively important for US gold investors<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Triggers that prompted individual investors to make a specific investment in gold*<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03.png\" rel=\"mfp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"380\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==\" data-src=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-1024x380.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4113 lazyload\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-1024x380.png 1024w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-300x111.png 300w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-768x285.png 768w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-450x167.png 450w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-225x83.png 225w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-900x334.png 900w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-20x8.png 20w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03-259x96.png 259w, https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/03.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>* Explanatory notes as per previous chart. Results are responses to the question \u2018What prompted you to make an investment in&nbsp;at this time?\u2019. The options were: [Was\/Is] just my usual way of saving\/investing; [Wanted\/Want] to experiment with this type of investment; Price of this investment [was\/is] low; Price of this investment [was\/is] on the way up; [Wanted\/Want] to generate a regular income; [Wanted\/Want] to shift funds from high risk to low risk to protect my money; [Wanted\/Want] to shift funds to increase level of return; [Wanted\/Want] to spread risk across different types of investments; [Was\/Is] recommended to me by a financial advisor or other professional; [Was\/Is] recommended to me by a friend or relative; [Wanted\/Want] an investment that I could easily sell at short notice;[Wanted\/Want] to invest in something that [was\/is] low risk; Saw it in the news; Other, please specify. Respondents answered for a specific investment product that they had bought in the previous 12 months. Base: Respondents asked specifically about a P12m gold investment (in any of the four forms specified) (433); All respondents (2029).<br><br>Source: World Gold Council<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>These insights underscore the huge increase in US retail investment demand: gold\u2019s low-risk nature \u2013 brought into focus by the huge increase in uncertainty caused by the pandemic \u2013 may have triggered investment by those who identify it as offering wealth protection; while its upward price trend in 2020 likely attracted those who view it as a source of returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And while the experience of 2020 does not suggest a repeat performance in 2021, we view conditions&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/outlook-2021\" target=\"_blank\">as being particularly supportive for gold investment during the year ahead<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Footnotes<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>1&nbsp;<\/sup>Retail investment refers to investment demand by individuals for gold coins and small gold bars (1kg and below). In our Gold Demand Trends data, it is the sum of physical bar demand, official coin demand and medals\/imitation coin demand. For more information, see Gold Demand Trends&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.org\/goldhub\/research\/gold-demand-trends\/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2020\/notes-and-definitions\" target=\"_blank\">notes and definitions<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>2&nbsp;<\/sup>Previous high for January sales was in 1999, with total sales of 281,000 ounces&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.usmint.gov\/about\/production-sales-figures\/bullion-sales?program=American+Eagle&amp;+AmericatheBeautifulSilverBullion5ozCointype=&amp;+AmericanBuffalotype=&amp;+AmericanEagletype=Sales+totals+by+Month&amp;AmericatheBeautifulSilverBullion5ozCoinSalestotalsbyMonthyear=&amp;AmericatheBeautifulSilverBullion5ozCoinYear-datedcoinssoldyear=&amp;AmericanBuffaloSalestotalsbyMonthyear=&amp;AmericanBuffaloYear-datedcoinssoldyear=&amp;AmericanEagleSalestotalsbyMonthyear=842&amp;AmericanEagleYear-datedcoinssoldyear=\" target=\"_blank\">Bullion Sales | U.S. Mint&nbsp;<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>3&nbsp;<\/sup><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/gdp-growth\" target=\"_blank\">tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/gdp-growth<\/a>;&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/unemployment-rate\" target=\"_blank\">tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/unemployment-rate<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>4&nbsp;<\/sup><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/01\/01\/upshot\/why-markets-boomed-2020.html?\" target=\"_blank\">www.nytimes.com\/2021\/01\/01\/upshot\/why-markets-boomed-2020.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>5\u00a0<\/sup><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2020\/03\/15\/federal-reserve-cuts-rates-to-zero-and-launches-massive-700-billion-quantitative-easing-program.html\" target=\"_blank\">www.cnbc.com\/2020\/03\/15\/federal-reserve-cuts-rates-to-zero-and-launches-massive-700-billion-quantitative-easing-program.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Article republished with permission from the World Gold Council (www.gold.org).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Demand for gold bars and coins in the US jumped in 2020, mirroring the rush for gold ETFs that took holdings in those&nbsp;products to record highs. Having languished at a relatively weak 20t in 2019, retail investment more than trebled to&nbsp;66t in 2020.1&nbsp;And while that remains some way below the levels seen during the Global&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4131,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80,100],"tags":[],"thb-sponsors":[],"class_list":["post-4108","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gold","category-in-focus"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v14.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>After filling up in 2020, US investors remain hungry for gold bars and coins - Solitaire magazine is a International jewellery magazine - India\u2019s leading B2B gem and jewellery magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow\" \/>\n<meta name=\"googlebot\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"bingbot\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/gjepc.org\/solitaire\/after-filling-up-in-2020-us-investors-remain-hungry-for-gold-bars-and-coins\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"After filling up in 2020, US investors remain hungry for gold bars and coins - Solitaire magazine is a International jewellery magazine - India\u2019s leading B2B gem and jewellery magazine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Demand for gold bars and coins in the US jumped in 2020, mirroring the rush for gold ETFs that took holdings in those&nbsp;products to record highs. 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